A new world order will have to wait

Saturday 18th October 2008, 9:59AM BST.

BEFORE all elections there is a flurry of activity and a sense of a new world order approaching.

After the election everything will be different. The old guard will be swept away and new thinking and new voices will take the place of the familiar.

And yet, when it comes to it, the result is rarely evidence that the electorate is willing to wipe the floor with the people whose decisions a vocal number have spent the rest of the year decrying. After all, of the six successful candidates, only one, poll-topper Ian Le Marquand, is new to the States and of the five who have been returned to the States only Senator-elect Alan Breckon was strongly anti-GST.

So the great GST backlash did not really happen for either the pro or anti camps. Senator Mike Vibert seems to be the lone ministerial fall guy for the pros and neither Deputy Geoff Southern or newcomer Trevor Pitman made much of a showing for the antis.

A small part of the result can be laid at the door of the fact that it is usually easier to make an impression once your foot is in the political door because people have a context to put you in and have some reference point for whether or not you can achieve something. This may also have been a factor in Mr Le Marquand’s top result. As Magistrate he has had the opportunity to demonstrate his social conscience and intellect.

This week’s results were a vote for safety. The Chief Minister, Frank Walker, has called it a vote for stability but in a sense it is probably more properly a vote partially dictated by the fear of what else we might get rather than a ringing endorsement of what exists.

It may be that many Islanders are anti-GST and want to give a nod to their disapproval of it by supporting Senator-elect Breckon and giving one soon-to-be ex-Minister a bloody nose but, when it comes right down to it, Jersey’s voters have erred on the side of caution.

It is possible that the credit crunch has been a factor in late changes in where people placed their ‘Xs’. There are few people who would wilfully place Jersey’s economy in the hands of people who might be even less trustworthy with the Island wallet than they deem those currently in charge to be.

The current obsession with finance may have pushed back those green credentials we are all so keen to acquire – when it suits us. It does seem harder to care about the environment if you believe that there’s a chance you might fall short on the rent or mortgage, even if this is still a far-away prospect.

What does appear to have been a feature at these elections – and having 21 candidates played a part in this – is that people don’t seem to have felt as informed as they wanted to have been about the candidates.
It is difficult to see how there could have been more information flying about but this was nevertheless a comment made on more than a few occasions.


  1. 1
    Chris

    “This week’s results were a vote for safety”…, or you could view the election in terms of Ozouf’s votes down 40%, Vibert down 42% and voted out, Routier down 25% and Southern up 52%. That represents a sizeable swing by the voters, split among many first time candidates receiving respectable numbers

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  2. 2
    Bruce Labey

    This election was a turning point: from now on the true costs of the finance industry will far outweigh the perceived benefits. The green light has now been given to those who believe that Jersey’s future and the finance industry’s future are one and the same thing. In truth Jersey is now a captured state; the finance industry employs so many people that they will all vote for what’s good for finance, in other words thousands more three bedroom houses, property prices driven by speculation, no real employment opportunities beyond finance (therefore local children driven out, bank employees imported by the hundred). Jersey may just have voted for the Hong Kong Option without realising it. If reformers had been elected we might have had a chance to make the case for sustainable development and a mixed economy. Now it’s full speed ahead and don’t spare the countryside – goodbye to Jersey as we know and love it now. Until of course finance collapses completely or is driven to other shores by changes in global legislation (keep your eye on the forthcoming summit in the US) and then what? An island ruined by empty offices and empty housing estates? And if you think this is going too far just remember that in America it used to be the clever thing to do to lend money to people that couldn’t pay it back. In Jersey we are told that the clever thing to do is to rely on the finance industry as our sole source of income. Same sort of thinking from the same sort of people. That’s what you just voted for.

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