‘Six months of hell’ prediction

Tuesday 25th November 2008, 2:59PM GMT.

00537378_cropped.jpgFINANCE industry specialists are predicting ‘six months of hell’ as the UK government probes the Island’s crisis management, international co-operation, tax arrangements and transparency.

The review announced by UK Chancellor Alistair Darling in yesterday’s pre-budget speech is the latest in a series of reviews that have sapped the Island’s resources both in time and effort. Jersey’s financial regulation is currently undergoing an in-depth examination by the International Monetary Fund, and the UK Treasury Select Committee of MPs in September began an independent review of the three Crown Dependencies, prompted by recent international banking failures.

The last time the UK government commissioned a review of this nature was in 1998. The Edwards report, as it became known, concluded that Jersey was in the top division of offshore centres and had a clear commitment to defeating money laundering. Officially Jersey’s finance industry is heralding this latest review as an ‘opportunity’. Geoff Cook, chief executive at promoters Jersey Finance, said: ‘Our standards of compliance and governance are world class and we have the facts to prove this.’

John Riva, head of tax at KPMG, said the worst that might happen this time around would be if the UK government were to focus on Jersey’s ability to bail out the banking sector, given the size of the finance sector in relation to the rest of the economy. ‘Basically this is nonsense, because we do not have Channel Islands banks – they are all subsidiaries of major banking institutions based elsewhere. It is not Jersey that has to bail them out, but their parent country. My personal feeling is that we will have six months of sheer hell. It was the same with the Edwards report – it really shook us up, accelerated legislation we had until then only been thinking about.’

• Picture: John Riva of KPMG


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  1. 1
    Mick Tait

    It’s all very well for Mr Riva to say that banks’ parent countries should “bail them out” when things go wrong, but if the parent countries are not prepared to do that (and you really cannot expect the UK government to guarantee savings held in Jersey branches of UK banks when they cannot tax the interest paid on those deposits) people are going to be more cautious in future about depositing their savings in Jersey, unless of course the Jersey authorities provide a guarantee of the security of those deposits equal to that provided elsewhere. And that raises the fundamental question of whether such a guarantee, were it to be given, would have any real worth.

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  2. 2
    Tintin

    In Detroit houses are being given away for ridiculous prices due the collapse of the motor industry. A once great city has been humbled and homes are worth nothing. If anyone wants to offload a Jersey property whilst they still can; my son has some pocket money left over from the weekend, so hurry before he buys a CD and you miss the chance.

    On another note; how independent are we if we want to rely on handouts from British Taxpayers to compensate Jersey residents if a local bank collapses?

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  3. 3
    Pat

    As the uk government will not bail out tax haven finance will foreign investors cease to invest offshore as given the amount of money involved?Idid not hear of a jersey 100%guarantee perhaps if just one major financial institute went bust it would break the island.

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  4. 4
    Mark’s perspective

    Look on the bright side of life.

    As interest rates fall, maybe as low as zero percent, the amount we have to pay for our mortgages will also tumble. Good news for the Jersey Treasury.

    Why? Because the amount we can claim in interest rate relief on income tax will also tumble. Twenty percent of any saving will go direct to the Jersey treasury.

    A windfall boost to income tax revenue!

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  5. 5
    Harve

    First time in years that I have agreed with Mick Tait.

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  6. 6
    Pip Clement

    Further falls in interest rates may have a negative impact on the island.
    Lending rates will not fall much further as banks will still have to make their ‘turn’ to cover costs and risks etc while savers will suffer a further drop in interest income.
    Jersey has a lot of older residents with bank deposits and the interest supplements their pension.
    And pensioners tend to shop locally so that will depress local sales still further.

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