There’s no room for flippancy on the future of our world

Saturday 18th April 2009, 2:59PM BST.

From Chris Perkins.
THE article in Wednesday’s JEP under the headline ‘Here comes the sun’ is either flippant or plain irresponsible.

Global warming is a problem that has to be addressed by all governments. Only recently the president of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Professor James McCarthy, warned that Ba rack Obama’s government had just four years to save the planet. He said: ‘If we don’t make significant progress in these areas, I think the planet is in huge trouble.’

The trouble Mr McCarthy refers to could include rises in sea level that will submerge many low-lying areas of the world (including parts of Jersey); the destruction of the Amazon rainforest ecosystem; perennial drought in areas such as southern Africa; melting glaciers that will lead to the failure of river systems and thus agriculture in densely populated areas of south-east Asia; bigger and more frequent storms;and the extinction of many species of plant and animal as they fail to cope with the change in climate.

All this and more will probably mean millions, perhaps billions, of starving people.
Your report seems to indicate that we mustn’t worry about any of the above, because we may be able to grow olives and Jersey Royals a little earlier in the year. As for the tourists who will flock once more to our shores, it should be pointed out that the possible 3°C increase in temperature is a globally predicted average and does not just apply to Jersey.

Perhaps also with the climate-induced problems facing the world by the year 2080, people may have more to worry about than going on holiday to a half-submerged island in the English Channel.

With the draft Strategic Plan currently containing no reference to Jersey’s responsibility to address the causes of global warming – the publication Turning Point to which you refer is 107 pages long, but dedicates less than two pages to climate change mitigation – I would hope that your newspaper will push Senator Cohen and his colleagues to produce some actual policies, rather than thinking that the imminent catastrophe to engulf our planet could produce some ‘opportunities’.
53 Garden Lane,
St Helier.


  1. 1
    Adrian

    Just think Jersey could even be completely underwater. What would happen then? Maybe we could have an underwater bubble to protect the island?

    All one has to do is take a walk on a big spring tide when the water goes out 40 foot. Try doing this at Seymour and see how far you can go, a couple of miles at least. How far can you walk out from the sea wall at high tide on the same day? Answer 0 feet.

    Now walk inland to a point 40 foot above the high tide mark. How much of Jersey would be under water, if the tide only rose by 40 foot? Quite a lot. Adopting this policy do you think it is a good idea to have a property overlooking the sea? If the tide rises, even a meter or so, will that property be worth more, the same, or less or indeed be worthless?

    Even a rise of 3-6 foot (1-2 metres) would be quite catestrophic especially for the new finance quarter!

    By then I expect billions to be on the move due to environmental conditions and the loss of areas for food production. Factor in another 3-4 billion on top of the 7 billion now and it won’t be the picnic portrayed by that silly article earlier in the week.

    Lack of food and lack of water will be what future wars will be faught over, you can live without oil, but not food and water.

    Anyone who poo poos climate change does so at their own risk and that of their children. The climate is changing and it will always change, we just do not know what impact we are having on it. This is why it is silly not to investigate and prepare for the worst.

    We could just as easily be in a new ice age by then, in which case it would be rather chilly over here wouldn’t it? It might be fine for wooly mamamoths though. In that case the present day beach front properties would be miles in land. Do you think these properties would be worth more, the same, or less?

    Which ever way it goes, things are going to be a lot different for everyone in Jersey.

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