Climate warming, cooling – or simply climate change?

Tuesday 9th February 2010, 3:00PM GMT.

From Robert Kisch.
I HAVE doubts about the whole climate change scenario. We have had global warming, global cooling and, as a safe term, climate change presented as government scare tactics.

The thinking may be good in that it encourages rapid improvement in fossil fuel use efficiency pending the revival of the nuclear programme.

Exxon Mobil produced some years ago a detailed research on climate change based on satellite data showing variations in climate over the millennia, backed up by ice samples and old tree rings. Ice samples in particular retain air samples which include volcanic eruption data and following effects (Jungfrau research station, which I have visited).

One scare story refers to rise in ocean levels with threats to coastal areas. Pacific islands are specifically quoted, linking global warming and ice cap melting and even the ozone hole observations. One must not forget that in historic times, land mass itself does move. In Roman times Rye was a busy seaport. The land has risen and the river is now only just navigable for a short length from the coast.

Herm Island, off Guernsey, has farming gateposts, slotted for the bars, visible at very low spring tides.

Other areas around Jersey have seen land dropping; an example is St Ouen’s Bay. Within pre-historic times, St Ouen’s Bay has seen the sea up to the cliffs forming the old west coast, now receded, leaving sea sand. Further evidence is St Clement’s Giants Causeway to France, now flooded.

These events cannot be due to ocean rise or fall. They must be due to land movement. This is particularly so in the Pacific Islands, where the geological fault leads to underwater eruptions and the tsunami flooding, and the loss altogether of some of the smaller developed islands.

The revival of the nuclear programme is the start of tapping into the vast resource of energy which does not pollute the atmosphere, has higher energy density than any other means of energy production, and in the electrical form is commercially distributed and viable in terms of return on investment.

Hydrocarbons will only have markets for plastics and, by molecular manipulation, other chemical, medical and biological products.

Electrically propelled vehicles will quickly be standard, initially with recharging points and battery exchange systems (refuelling).

End-of-life disposal will be assisted by the increasing percentage of salvage industry with barest minimum being true scrap. Even this can be incinerated using old technology for steam-driven turbine generators.

One must remember that the technology for reuse of the two per cent ‘hot waste’ from nuclear fission fuel-rod recycling already exists.

However, the real tiny volume does not yet justify Professor Carlo Rubbia’s (late head of CERN) radiation focus system. This focuses radiation on to hot lead, water pipes therein embedded, producing high-pressure superheated steam for turbine generators.
It is a chicken and egg situation.

If all the ‘hot waste’ now stored internationally was brought together for joint development of the project, it would be viable now.

The next generation of breeder reactor (the French Super-Phoenix) may well be overtaken by the fusion reactor, as harnessing the energy is developed from the cyclotron-type torous system now used for the JET (now ITER) prototype.


  1. 1
    FUBAR

    Good letter
    Further points in history of natural forces. There is an old forest in the middle of St. Ouens bay and in the 14th century there was the Manor of Brecquette all now under the waves.
    The English channel is only 7,000 years old. It was farmed before that. Milloins of years ago La cotte in St Brelade was a sea cave formed by the sea. 250,000 years ago the sea was a hundred miles away. Today its only meters away.
    Earth quakes move land masses hundeds of feet raising and lowering land by natural forces.
    Glaciers have come and gone. Some glacies have covered land right up to the equator carving out the landscape as it pushes and recedes. At times there has been no ice at all, even at the poles.
    The earth has been much hotter and much colder than it is today
    The forces of nature are all natural and have been happening for millions of years. SNAFU!

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  2. 2
    Islander

    I am sure that Mr. Kisch is right in being doubtful about the propaganda that we are being fed.

    The climate is always changing so there is nothing new in that. The “Hockey Stick” curve that is supposed to prove the increase in carbon in the air does match another similar curve and that is the one of the rapidly increasing world population.

    I strongly suspect that the real reason for the drive to reduce our use of oil as a fuel is that it mostly comes from certain countries in the Middle East and the politicians want us to reduce our need to deal with them.

    Other research that has received less publicity indicates that the temperature has been falling for the last 10 years.

    We are now having the coldest winter here for many years. I had predicted that based on the extended minimum of the Sunspot Cycle. That has been observed many times in the past so it increasingly likely that it is related. There is not much that we can do about the sun!

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  3. 3
    Pip Clement

    More wishful thinking from the Daily Mail Tendency.
    The facts are that we have dumped hundreds of millions of tons of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and that has increased its ability to retain heat.
    Maybe short term factors will ameliorate this but the long term trend unless there is an equally powerful long term force pushing in the other direction will be to increase the temperature.
    My bet is that by 2050 we will be living in a substantially changed world. Most places will be a lot warmer, some will be dryer, some will be a lot wetter, there will be disruption to agriculture, natural systems, etc.
    If you are old, have no young close relatives and do not care about the fate of humanity as a whole you can ignore the whole situation.

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  4. 4
    Jon James

    Well put Pip, its easier for people to disbelieve as it means they don’t need to put themselves out in any way.

    Now whether you believe in climate change or not, you can not disagree with the facts presented here http://www.storyofstuff.com/ with regard to the effect we are having on our world. The one and only we have.

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  5. 5
    BridgetM

    Thank you Mr. Kisch.
    At least one man on the Island has intelligence to see the truth..

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  6. 6
    PJG

    Pip Clement,Jon James,
    I will be dead by 2050, give me one good reason why I, selfish bugger that I am, should listen to your ridiculed by some, predictions.

    Anyway, even if your right nature will prevail, even if it means the extinction of the human race.

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  7. 7
    Pip Clement

    Sadly it seems that the people who cannot see the problems that we are causing in the long term will prevail over those who can.
    It will be slightly ironic if the most intelligent species that has ever existed on this planet will end up being the cause of its own avoidable demise.

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  8. 8
    God's Mentor

    I much prefer a warmer climate – can’t see what the fuss is about.

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  9. 9
    FUBAR

    World may not be warming, say scientists…
    The United Nations climate panel faces a new challenge with scientists casting doubt on its claim that global temperatures are rising inexorably because of human pollution.

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  10. 10
    Flymo

    Knowing our lot in the Fun Factory, we will still end up paying extra taxes to combat man made global warming now that the facts are coming to light that debunks this theory.

    When are the next elections due?…. sigh

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  11. 11
    bella

    #9
    yes another scam just like the others.
    No doubt they will think another one up to keep this one going to relieve us of our money!
    Hem i wonder what they will rake up next?

    The,ve covered smoking drinking overweight flu.

    Maybe were using too much water.
    Wash less,save the planet.
    Eat less to save the crops.
    Read less,you are over-taxing the brain.

    The obvious one is to breed less too many people on the planed.

    But maybe,just maybe thats the way they want it.
    More people more £££££££££££

    The chinese got it right on this one

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